1. Barack Obama
(Advantages)
- He is leading 5 ~ 11% in major national polls. I think racial discrimination is not an issue in this election as I believe majority of voting Americans are open in their thinking. If there is some components of racial biasness and people polled dishonestly, I think the lead may be reduced a little bit only.
- I think his tax-cut policy is good despite greatly criticized by the Republican. He will give tax relief to the middle-class and tax the rich more. Majority of Americans belong to the middle class, the working class people.
- Because of his young age, he is appealing to a lot of young generation voters. He won the support from well-known leaders in the high-tech industry, like the CEO of Google.
- Collin Powell, the respected and influential former secretary of state of the U.S. openly endorsed Barack.
- Hillary Clinton, the respected Democratic presidential nominee, openly endorsed and supported Barack. Those independent voters especially the ladies who would vote for Hillary will vote for Barack.
- He chose a very safe vice-presidential running mate Joe Biden. Joe is a steady and non-controversial in his Senator career.
- He is a very charismatic leader. His speech captured the audience. That's why people praised that he does not speak at you but to you. The word 'change' they use is very powerful and captivating throughout the campaign.
(Disadvantages)
- He has much less career achievements.
- He lacks of executive experiences to run a government.
- He lacks of foreign policy experience.
- He was relatively unknown or unheard of until 2 years ago. A lot of people might still doubt his background and link him to muslim, terrorist, and the like.
- He can talk well. People doubt whether he can effectively put his words into actions.
2. John McCain
(Advantages)
- He is regarded as national wartime hero. He was involved in Vietnam war and nearly lost his life for country. He is regarded as a tough fighter and will fight till the end. He bore the scars of his sacrifice for his country.
- He has more career achievements compared to his opponent.
- He has foreign policy experience.
- People who support him have the confidence he will put the country first.
(Disadvantages)
- He is representing the Republican which has 8 years of failed policy. The '8 years of failed policy' is used countless times by Barack in his speeches and it is deeply imprinted in my mind, and in many people's mind as well, I believe. Many people are scared that the failed policy will continue.
- His selection of the vice-predential candicate, Sarah Palin, is not impressive. It is a risky and surprised choice. I personally believe she is not ready to run a big country like the U.S. as vice president and she is barely known by the White house elites. She also lacks of foreign policy experience and exposed herself too much to the negative media publicity. I think it is a risky and unwise choice.
- The republican spent too much energy and time attacking Barack's identity, associating him with terrorist, or etc. There is no proof to what they claimed so it is a waste of time and resouces. They should focus on their campaign message instead.
- He is old and does not seem to appeal to the modern-generation voters. He does not even use computer, does he?
Based on my analysis, I predict a landslide victory for Barack Obama on 4 Nov 08.
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